Thursday, November 18, 2010

Basics of Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms, also referred to as electrical storms are famous by their presence of lightning and their meeter thunder produced in a cumulonimbus cloud. Thunderstorms generally have an abundance of moisture and therefore generally produce heavy rainfall, along with strong winds, hail, and occasional tornadoes. During the winter season thunder can sporadically be herd within a heavy snowfall event — generally within snowsqualls off the Great Lakes. This is known as thundersnow.

Thunderstorms form when moist, unstable air is lifted vertically into the atmosphere. Lifting of this air produces condensation and the release of latent heat (the energy required to change a substance to a higher say of matter (solid to liquid to gas). These processes that initiate vertical lifting can be caused by:

(i) Unequal warming at the earth’s surface: Warmer air at the surface and cooler air aloft (upper atmosphere) causes a parcel of air to rise. Depending on the lapse rate, (rate of the parcel of air rising) cumulonimbus clouds will form developing into thunderstorms.

However, whether the air aloft is warmer or the same temperature as the surface a capping inversion develops. This means that a parcel of air will not rise, disallowing a thunderstorm development. As the cap weakens, (which can be due to moistening of the atmosphere, cooling the upper atmosphere, or warming of the surface) thunderstorms might develop. Thunderstorms are generally strongest when maximum heating has occurred and capping weakens in the mid to late afternoon hours.

(ii) Uplift of an air masses because of a topographic impediment (mountains): The uplift also causes the cooling of the air mass and therefore whether enough cooling occurs condensation can occur and form into orographic precipitation such as thunderstorms.

(iii) Dynamic lifting: Occurs with the presence of a frontal zone, such as a warm front (separates warmer more humid air from drier cooler air) and a cold front (a separation of warmer more humid air from drier cooler air).

After lifting has begun, the rising parcel of air will start to cool because of adiabatic expansion (a reduction in air pressure). At a certain level, (depending on the atmospheric set up) the parcel of air will reach its dewpoint and condensation will start to form. This yields clouds, and whether the uplift continues due to unstable conditions, these clouds form into cumulonimbus clouds and consequently thunderstorms.

Thunderstorms once developed have stages they go through as well. These stages can be described as the following:

(i) Cumulus Stage: This is the initial stage of thunderstorm development, which occurs when the updraft reaches the condensation point in the region (the formation of water droplets) and a cumulus cloud begins to form. During this stage the cumulus cloud will expand both vertically (higher up into the atmosphere) and laterally (covering more area on the ground by growing outwards in all directions). Cumulus clouds might also merge together forming a thunderstorm cell many miles wide, with cloud tops reaching about 30,000 feet.

(ii) Mature Stage: The updraft has begun to penetrate higher levels of the atmosphere, and the pressure of an abundance of cover crystals and water droplets leads to the formation of precipitation. The appearance of precipitation marks the beginning of this stage. The precipitation falling towards the surface is one contributor to the development of the downdraft in the storm. At the beginning, the downdraft might only be present in the middle and lower levels of the storm, which gradually increases in a lateral and vertical extent but it never extends to the top of the cloud. Strong winds at these altitudes cause the tops of the clouds to level off, and take an anvil shape. The resulting cloud is called cumulonimbus incus. The “anvil” is so high and temperatures are so low that the top of the cloud is composed entirely of cover crystals. Cloud tops during this stage might reach upwards of 60,000 feet or higher.

(iii) Dissipating Stage: A gradual termination of rainfall occurs because the updraft has been cut off (no more air is being fed into the thunderstorm cell). This is when precipitation falls through the cloud, breaking it up. During the dissipating stage, the humidity in the air drops and the precipitation ends.

To recap thunderstorms need certain ingredients to from and once they have formed they can become very violent very swiftly producing strong winds, hail, flooding rains and tornadoes. The presence of thunder and rain marks the mature stage of a thunderstorm — the most hazardous part of the storm which occurs at the end of the mature stage as the storm collapses.

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Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Trading Crude Oil Futures Contracts

 

If you are looking to trade crude oil then some of the most important data that affects both the US Crude Oil and UK Brent Crude Oil markets are the weekly inventories.

Every week US Oil inventories are released at 15.30 BST and the market often turns into a rollercoaster both before and after the data is released.

If you had been looking at the numbers recently you would have noticed that US Crude has broken through the per barrel marker. In the futures markets it looked like traders hunted down weak short positions until there were none left.

Crude oil is now at its highest level since September 2008. We can certainly anticipate higher prices in the garages again.

The breaking effect of higher energy costs has not been factored in very much to growth prospects. However the implications for European and US growth are not precisely wonderful. On top of weakened bank lending capacity, higher individualized taxation and impending public sector spending cuts we now also have oil climbing inexorably higher.

The UK is very dependent on the mobility of its workforce and commercial fleets. Each squeeze on the price of delivering this will affect growth further down the line.

The /84 resistance level for Crude Oil had stood firm for fairly some time. At the moment we are grinding steadily higher. If that continues then there might be something of a scramble for commercial consumers to cover their forward risks, ie airlines, haulage etc. We might see prices accelerating higher in the short term.

This stated inventories are still looking good. If demand does increase then the supply part of the equation will hopefully give us some leeway.

If you are looking to speculate on the crude oil markets then spread betting offers swift and easy access to both the US Crude Oil and UK Crude Oil (Brent) markets.

Being healthy to ‘short’ a market provides obvious opportunities. You do not have to speculate on markets to go up. If your analysis recommends that the US Oil market will go down you can speculate on it to go down. If your research indicates that the price of Brent Crude Oil will go up you can spread bet on it to go up.

Also note that spread betting is tax free. Trading profits do not incur stamp duty or capital gains tax*.

So where to trade? The Financial Services Authority regulates the spread betting companies based in the UK.

Note that a number of firms offer the usual benefits of letting you trade external market hours. Some offer trades on thousands of global markets. Some companies, like InterTrader will also let you trade markets such as the FTSE 100, DAX 30, Crude Oil and Gold from Sunday evening all the way through to Friday evening. Genuine 24 hour trading.

Please note though, with spread betting you can lose more than your initial investment. Before trading, ensure that spread betting matches your investment objectives. Spread bets carry a high level of risk to your capital. Familiarise yourself with the risks involved. Seek independent advice whether necessary.

* Based on current UK and Irish tax law. Tax laws might differ whether you live external of the UK or Ireland.

A main financial author based in the heart of London’s Canary Wharf. Thomas Bainbridge is a respected commentator on the crude oil spread betting markets.

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Sunday, November 14, 2010

GEOLOGICAL REVIEW OF BROKEN LIMESTONE SURROUNDING THE CUAU GRASBERG OPEN PIT – Papua, Indonesia



“Broken Limestone” zones occur in the northeast and southwest areas of the Grasberg Pit. These
broken limestone zones are generally trending parallel to the regional fault structures. The broken
Limestone zones are controlled by regional and major fault structures, as well as pebble dike,
karst and dissolution breccia occurrences. In the northeast area the broken limestone zone is
complicated by the occurrence of a muskeg rich lake sediments.
Due to the brittle nature of the faults the RQD in the broken limestone zones is generally below
40%. The RQD of the dissolution breccia and karst is due to its nature also below 40%. However,
the RQD of the pebble dikes are generally 50-100%, with a mean of 68%. The spatial
coincidence of the dissolution breccias, karst and pebble dike features suggest a similar origin; at
least for the first two features.
The occurrence of these broken limestone zones will have an impact on the short- and long-term
mine plan design.

By:

Geoffrey de Jong, Sugeng Widodo, Bambang Antoro, Nur Wiwoho, Anton Perdana and Paul Q.
Warren; July 2008; PT Freeport Indonesia, Geo & Technical Services Division, Tembagapura
99930, Papua, Indonesia
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Wave-Dominated Deltas

Wave-Dominated Deltas
Geometry:
1.More lobateand have smooth, arcuateto sharp margins.
2.Longshoredrift may rework sediment along coastline.
3.Lobes strung out parallel to shoreline.
Controls on the Geometry:
1.substrate gradient
2.wave energy vs. tidal energy
3.sediment supply vs. accommodation volume: supply-dominated areas produce allochthonousshelves characterized by more rapid sedimentation and thick muddy sequences in which barrier sand bodies maybe encased while accommodation-dominated areas are associated with allochthonousshelves that have sandy sediments and experience extensive reworking.
4.rates of sea level change

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What is a delta?


A delta, as defined by the USGS (U.S. Geological Survey), is the fan-shaped area at the mouth, or lower end, of a river, formed by eroded material that has been carried downstream and dropped in quantities that can not be carried off by tides or currents.
Boggs defines a delta as any deposit, subaerialor subaqueous, formed by fluvial sediments that build into a standing body of water.

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Thursday, November 11, 2010

Privacy Policy

 

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We have included links on this site for your use and reference. We are not responsible for the privacy policies on these websites. You should be aware that the privacy policies of these sites might differ from our own.

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If you have any questions regarding the privacy policy of this site then you might contact us at  nastij13@gmail.com

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SUB SURFACE REPRESENTATIONS. PATENTS, PROBLEM AND POTENTIAL


Since geocellular modeling was first introduced into the geoscience armoury in the late 80’s it has
become a ubiquitous tool. Once the domain of those large companies with supercomputers or
high performance workstations, the software andcomputing power have both advanced so that
geocellular models are now routinely built on laptops in airport lounges.

In the late 1980’s when reservoir characterization was emerging as an investigative technique. The
software that was used was designed to treat the reservoir in an abstract way. There was not
necessarily any requirement to construct a model of your reservoir, rather a region that was in some
way had similar characteristics to regions within your reservoir. It is the departure from this
experimental approach to the understanding of the subsurface that, I believe has caused most of the
problems with characterization. In some ways it is now more important to have a model that looks like your reservoir rather than a model which
behaves like your reservoir and from which, inferences and predictions may be made.

Early software particularly coming out of BP Research was based around constructing objects
that would represent the heterogeneous aspects of the reservoir. Shale barriers, fluvial channels and
fractures were all modeled as objects like trees and signs in computer games. The driving forces
for the construction of geocellular models came from two sources. Firstly, from the software
company Stratamodel, which was probably the first geological modeling software, who created
the idea of dividing the reservoir into cells. Secondly from the emergence of geostatistical
techniques in the petroleum industry which could take advantage of the compute power of the super
workstations of the day and required regular – or vaguely regular 3D grids to operate. By the early
1990s the battle had been won and object modeling was not to reappear in any serious form
for another 10-12 years.

By :

Stephen Tyson, C.Math
Paradigm, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
stevet@pdgm.com
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